The Lancet Infectious Diseases
○ Elsevier BV
Preprints posted in the last 30 days, ranked by how well they match The Lancet Infectious Diseases's content profile, based on 73 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.04% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.
Leitner, D. R.; Walsh, S. R.; Sherman, A. C.; Hannaford, A.; Doranga, S.; Suzuki, M.; Balazs, G. I.; Hammerness, E.; Nguyen, K. T.; Izaguirre, N. E.; Sinha, A. R.; Haugh-Klockner, M. I.; Tong, A.; Li, X.; Slater, D. M.; Puri, N.; Harris, J. B.; Piantadosi, S.; Baden, L. R.; Waldor, M. K.
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Background Killed whole-cell oral cholera vaccines require multiple doses and have reduced efficacy in young children, limiting their utility. PanChol is a single-dose, oral live-attenuated cholera vaccine engineered from a current seventh pandemic El Tor O1 Vibrio cholerae strain. PanChol was shown to be safe and immunogenic in a previous phase 1a trial. In participants from this first-in-human trial, we aimed to assess the durability of the initial PanChol dose and the safety and immunogenicity of a second dose. Methods This open-label phase 1a booster study was conducted at Brigham and Women's Hospital (Boston, MA). Eligible participants were healthy adults aged 18-55 years without a history of cholera or gastrointestinal disorders and had received a PanChol dose ranging from 105-1010 colony-forming units (CFU) within the previous 322-1111 days. All participants received a booster dose of 2x107 CFU. The primary outcome was safety, including solicited, unsolicited, and serious adverse events following the second dose of PanChol. Secondary endpoints were the magnitude of pre- and post-vaccination serum vibriocidal titers to both Inaba and Ogawa V. cholerae, including seroconversion (4-fold rise in titers over baseline), and stool shedding of PanChol organisms using quantitative and qualitative stool cultures. Comparisons of the amount of vaccine shedding in stool following primary and secondary immunization were used to assess the intestinal mucosal immunity elicited by the initial PanChol dose. All outcomes were assessed in all participants. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT05657782, and is complete. Findings Between Aug 25, 2025, and Feb 20, 2026, 20 healthy adults who previously received a single oral dose of PanChol were enrolled to receive a booster dose of 2x107 CFU. Eleven (55%) of 20 participants were male and the median age was 43{middle dot}6 (IQR 30{middle dot}2-49{middle dot}5). Ten (50%) were White and 17 (85%) were not Hispanic or Latino. Nine (45%) of 20 boost recipients reported at least one solicited adverse event; 13 (93%) of 14 events were mild, and all were transient. The most common solicited adverse event was nausea, reported by 4 (20%) participants; all cases were mild. Most unsolicited adverse events were mild; one was grade 3 and was deemed unrelated to vaccination. Two unsolicited adverse events were deemed related to vaccination (mild gassy sensation and heartburn, both of which occurred on day 1 and resolved the same day). In most participants, vibriocidal antibody titers measured on the day of boosting exceeded baseline titers prior to the initial dose (17 (85%) for Inaba and 14 (70%) for Ogawa). Fifteen (75%) of 20 boost recipients seroconverted vibriocidal antibody titers to both serotypes. After the boost, 17 (85%) participants had no or self-limited vaccine shedding, compared with 10% after the first PanChol dose. Interpretation A second oral dose of PanChol had a favorable safety profile and induced vibriocidal seroconversion to both serotypes in 75% of boost recipients. Intestinal colonization of PanChol following the boost serves as a proxy for measuring mucosal immunity targeting V. cholerae. The decrease in in the abundance of PanChol fecal shedding following the second dose, compared with the first, suggests that a single dose of PanChol is sufficient to confer durable protective immunity against a cholera challenge. These observations underscore the need for further clinical development of PanChol. Funding Wellcome Trust.
Sirima, S. B.; Richie, T. L.; Ouedraogo, A.; Soulama, B. I.; Zou, A. R.; Nebie, I.; KC, N.; Camargo, N.; Goswami, D.; Kabore, J. M. T.; Kirakoya, N.; Mbaiasra, R. K.; Ezinmegnon, S.; Badoum, E. S.; Ouedraogo, S. Y.; Henry, N. B.; Yaro, J. B.; Mabuka, T.; Murshedkar, T.; Abebe, Y.; Perez, D.; James, E. R.; Minkah, N.; Vaughan, A. M.; Laurens, M. B.; Sim, B. K. L.; Kappe, S. H. I.; Tiono, A. B.; Hoffman, S. L.
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The World Health Organization has called for malaria vaccines with > 90% efficacy against Plasmodium falciparum (Pf) infection. The live, non-attenuated PfSPZ-CVac (chloroquine) vaccine provides the strongest protection against controlled human malaria infection (CHMI). Its 100% protective efficacy at 12 weeks against genetically distant Pf stems from a highly amplified immune stimulus. After inoculation, each invading sporozoite (SPZ) replicates up to 50,000 times within a hepatocyte. Over six days of development, these parasites express thousands of distinct proteins, presenting a vast and diverse array of antigens to the host immune system. The late liver stage parasites then rupture into the bloodstream, where they are killed by the co-administered drug, chloroquine. To engineer a Pf parasite that develops to the late liver stage like PfSPZ-CVac (chloroquine), but then arrests before transitioning to the blood stage, two genes required for transition from non-pathogenic liver to pathogenic blood stages were identified and deleted, creating late-liver stage arresting, replication-competent (LARC) PfSPZ. In a first-in-human, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled clinical trial, we assessed PfSPZ-LARC2 Vaccine in 75 malaria-exposed Burkinabe 1- to 48-year-olds. No vaccine-strain breakthrough blood-stage infections were detected; safety and tolerability profiles were similar in vaccinees and placebo recipients; and the highest immunogenicity was observed in the youngest recipients. Based on these findings, PfSPZ-LARC2 Vaccine has progressed to Phase 2 testing with the goal of rapidly advancing this genetically attenuated whole parasite vaccine to licensure and deployment.
Le Vu, S.; Gutierrez-Melo, N.; Cartailler, T.; Jabagi, M.-J.; Botton, J.; Olie, V.; Weill, A.; Dray-Spira, R.; Zureik, M.
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Importance Several influenza vaccine products are available for older adults, but evidence combining both their absolute effectiveness and head-to-head comparisons within the same large population remains scarce, limiting product-specific vaccination guidance for this high-risk group. Objective To estimate the relative and absolute effectiveness of influenza vaccines against influenza-related hospitalization and in-hospital mortality among older adults. Design, Setting, and Participants Nationwide cohort study using the French National Health Data System (SNDS), including all adults born in 1958 or earlier, living in metropolitan France, at the start of the 2023-2024 campaign. Relative effectiveness (rVE) was assessed using a landmark design with exposure fixed before epidemic onset. Absolute effectiveness (VE) was assessed using a sequential trial emulation with weekly matching of newly vaccinated individuals to yet unvaccinated controls. Follow-up ran from December 5, 2023 to April 19, 2024. Exposures Vaccination with a high-dose (Efluelda) or one of three standard-dose quadrivalent vaccines (Influvac, Fluarix, Vaxigrip), compared individually or by dosage category, and against no vaccination. Main Outcomes and Measures Hospitalization with a diagnosis of influenza and death during such hospitalization. Effectiveness was estimated as 1 minus the hazard ratio from weighted Cox models, with corresponding numbers needed to vaccinate to prevent one case. Results Among 13.8 million eligible individuals, 5.7 million (41%) were vaccinated at the beginning of follow-up. The high-dose vaccine showed greater rVE than standard-dose vaccines against hospitalization (27% [95%CI, 23 to 31%]) and in-hospital death (27% [95%CI,14 to 38%]). Absolute VE was 39% (95%CI, 38 to 41%) against hospitalization and 45% (95%CI, 40 to 49%) against in-hospital death, and was higher for the high-dose vaccine (50%) than standard-dose vaccines (36%) against hospitalization. This difference was most evident among adults 70 years and older, while overall effectiveness declined with age. Conclusions and Relevance In this study, influenza vaccination conferred moderate protection against severe outcomes in older adults, and high-dose vaccination was associated with significantly greater effectiveness than standard-dose vaccines, particularly among adults 70 years and older. These findings support product-level differentiation in vaccination strategy for this population.
Jamieson, N.; Pasco, R.; Abbott, S.; Lessler, J.; Meyers, L. A.
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The 2026 multinational Andes virus (ANDV) outbreak linked to cruise-ship travel from Argentina triggered extensive contact tracing and quarantine. Whether intervention on this scale was necessary or sufficient depends on the risk of onward transmission, which can be difficult to estimate early in an outbreak. Using transmission-pair data from the 2018--2019 outbreak in Epuyen, Argentina, and a mechanistic model linking viral growth, symptom onset, and transmission, we estimated that 42.4% (95% CrI: 18.2-69.7\%) of transmission occurs before symptom onset and that the median incubation period is 18.5 days (95% CrI: 16.5-19.5). We simulated outbreaks under an Epuyen-calibrated estimate (R = 2.12, k = 0.316) and a pooled estimate from 15 prior ANDV investigations (R = 0.24, k = 0.39), with intervention beginning after two generations, as in the cruise-associated event. Under the higher-transmission scenario, missing 10% of exposed individuals or downstream contacts resulted in a 29.9% probability of continued spread and a 20.6% probability that at least 5,000 ultimately uninfected people would be quarantined. Under lower transmission, continued spread stayed below 8%. However, the risk of onward transmission could not be estimated precisely from the first several detected cases. These findings therefore support rapid, comprehensive contact tracing and quarantine after large international exposure events despite substantial costs.
Li, S.-Y.; Hobson, J. J.; Ammerman, N. C.; Pertinez, H.; Sharp, J.; Fotouhi, N.; Rannard, S.; Owen, A.; Nuermberger, E. L.
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Rationale: Tuberculosis preventive therapy (TPT) is essential for global tuberculosis control, yet estimated coverage remains well below global targets. Current World Health Organization (WHO)-recommended regimens require 1-9 months of treatment and are associated with suboptimal completion rates. Long-acting injectable (LAI) formulations offer the potential to improve TPT uptake and completion, with ideal products providing "one-and-done" options via a single administration. Sorfequiline, a second-generation diarylquinoline with superior potency over bedaquiline and lower QT prolongation risk, is a promising candidate for LAI TPT.
Grobben, M.; Valle, C.; Reimerink, J.; Godeke, G.-J.; Shrestha, S.; Nellestijn, C.; Abba, H.; Franz, E.; Voordouw, B. C. G.; van der Klis, F. R. M.; Vos, E. R. A.; den Hartog, G.; Reusken, C. B. E. M.
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Background Ecological surveillance indicates (regional) establishment of West Nile virus (WNV) and Usutu virus (USUV) in the Netherlands. However, the incidence of human infections remains unknown. Methods We identified WNV and USUV infections in the Netherlands in 2020-2023, using a longitudinal, nationwide population-based cohort, applying a two-tiered serology approach based on protein micro-array and virus neutralization. IgG data were used to estimate overall seroprevalence and infection incidence, and to study antibody longevity. Study set-up enabled tracking of the period of seroconversion and linking of self-reported travel history. The analyses took account of the survey design and weights were incorporated to match the Dutch population distribution following census data. Findings Among 4290 participants, we identified 113 probable WNV and/or USUV cases, including 55 seroconversions. Thirty-six cases were confirmed by antibody neutralization, of which 12 seroconverted. Six confirmed seroconverters were identified as autochthonous infections. The overall weighted seroprevalence was estimated at 0.54% (0.21-0.87%) for WNV and 0.25% (0.09-0.40%) for USUV. The weighted incidence for autochthonous WNV and USUV infection was estimated as respectively 0.06% (95% CI 0-0.12%) and 0.04% (95% CI 0-0.09%). Interpretation The estimated infection incidence and seroprevalence of WNV and USUV indicate a substantial underdiagnosis of clinical cases in the Netherlands in 2020-2023. These observations highlight the need for increased awareness among physicians to identify cases and the need for continued paired syndromic-laboratory surveillance for these viruses.
Mueller, P. P.; Simuzingili, M.; Matthews, I. R.; Yi, Z.; Owusu-Edusei, K.
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Introduction: This study compared the health and economic impact of the 21-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (aPCV21) vs the 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV20) on invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) and post-meningitis sequelae (PMS) among adults aged 65 years and older in the United Kingdom (UK). Methods: A published Markov model was used to simulate a single-cohort of vaccine-naive adults who became eligible for age-based vaccination at age 65 years, with uptake occurring over time. The cohort was followed until a maximum age of 100 years. Model inputs were derived from publicly available national health data and published reports. Outcomes were discounted at 3.5% annually, and costs were adjusted to the 2024 Great Britain Pound ({pound}). Additional analyses explored the impact of changing the age-based recommendation from 65 years to 75 years. Scenarios involving instantaneous vaccine uptake rates were included as part of the sensitivity analyses. A deterministic sensitivity analysis was performed on the incremental direct medical costs between vaccinating with aPCV21 vs PCV20 under the age-based recommendation of 65 years. Results: Using an age-based recommendation of 65 years, aPCV21 led to fewer cases, deaths, and costs than PCV20. Compared with PCV20, aPCV21 averted an additional 138 IPD cases, 1 PMS case, and 22 IPD deaths, saving {pound}1.2 million in direct medical costs. Raising the age-based recommendation from 65 to 75 years and using aPCV21 (or PCV20, respectively), resulted in 120 (92) additional IPD cases, 2 (1) additional PMS case(s), 19 (14) additional IPD death(s), and an extra {pound}1.1 ({pound}0.8) million in direct medical costs. The deterministic sensitivity analysis showed that aPCV21 reduced direct medical costs across all parameter ranges. Conclusions: Compared with PCV20, aPCV21 prevented more IPD cases, IPD deaths, and direct medical costs among older adults in the UK. Changing the age-based recommendation from age 65 to 75 resulted in worse health and economic outcomes. Key words. Pneumococcal infections; pneumococcal vaccines; vaccines, conjugate; serotype; United Kingdom; health costs
Klein, D. J.; Grantz, K. H.; Buckee, C. O.; George, D. B.; Dowell, S. F.
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Before 2026, Bundibugyo virus disease had only two recognized outbreaks. By August 2026, delayed recognition and multi-day sample transport in eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo had contributed to a large, spatially dispersed epidemic. We hypothesized that model-guided placement of decentralized diagnostics in frontier health zones could help contain spatial spread by acting as a spatial fence: delayed recognition would be converted into timely polymerase chain reaction (PCR) confirmation, isolation, and contact tracing before imported lineages became established. We fit a Bayesian spatial branching process to public situation reports through 2 August 2026, with Flowminder movement and a latent-burden anchor. Lineages had overdispersed offspring, PCR access and turnaround, clinical recognition, isolation, tracing, safe burial, and local behaviour change. Because the observed history did not identify future control, we assumed a national response ramp yielding West-Africa-scale status-quo burden and replayed 2,000 posterior trees with 5-100 zone-level PCR laboratories, deployment delays of 0-180 days, and postmortem rapid diagnostic test (RDT) coverage. The posterior reproduced case, death, latent-burden, and spatial targets. Speed dominated: 35 PCR laboratories averted a median 49% of future deaths if deployed immediately, 38% after 14 days, and 11% after 60 days, with 90% prediction intervals of 30-65%, 23-53%, and 5-20%, respectively. Placement also mattered: with a 30-day delay, model-informed placement averted 18-33% of future deaths with 20-100 laboratories, versus 1-8% under random placement. Postmortem RDTs partly filled gaps left by live-case detection, increasing future deaths averted from 26% to 41% with 20 laboratories, a 14-day delay, and 75% coverage. Decentralized diagnostics can slow spatial spread when they are placed ahead of likely importations and paired with staffing, isolation, tracing, and safe-burial capacity.
Wallace, H. L.; Halbrook, M. L.; Kompany, J. P.; Hoff, N. A.; Merritt, S.; Mukadi, P.; Beya, M.; Kalengi, H.; Tambu, M.; Mossoko, Z.; Kelly, J. D.; Ball, A. H.; To, A.; Wong, T.; Kavunga-Membo, H.; Hensley, L. E.; Lehrer, A. T.; Kindrachuk, J.; Mbala-Kingebeni, P.; Rimoin, A. W.
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Background: Filoviruses, specifically Ebola virus (EBOV), Bundibugyo virus (BDBV), and Marburg virus (MARV), have been the etiologic agents of multiple outbreaks of severe disease in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC). Two EBOV-specific vaccine regimens have been approved for use in outbreak scenarios, including the Ad26.ZEBOV/MVA-BN-Filo (Zabdeno/Mvabea) two-dose vaccine, where the MVA-BN-Filo booster dose contains EBOV, MARV, and Sudan (SUDV) virus glycoproteins (GPs) and the nucleoprotein from Tai Forest virus. While long-term immunogenicity of up to two years has been found in clinical trial settings, limited real-world data exists. Methods: Using a multiplexed immunoassay, samples (n=698 at baseline) collected in Mbandaka, Equateur province, DRC, between September 2023 and October 2024 were assessed for seroreactivity to six filovirus antigens (1 BDBV, 2 EBOV, 2 MARV, and 1 SUDV) at three distinct periods: baseline/pre-vaccination, 6-8 weeks post-first dose (Zabdeno), at booster administration (Mvabea), and one-year post-boost dose. Results: Substantial filovirus seroreactivity was found at baseline, with 48.7% (n=340/698) of individuals being seroreactive to at least one virus antigen. High baseline seroreactivity was found against BDBV GP (31.1%, n=217/698), with lower baseline seroreactivity to EBOV GP (15.5%, n=106/698), comparatively. Overall EBOV GP seroreactivity increased to 66.8% (n=376/563) at one year-post vaccine boost and 57.6% (n=250/434) of participants were seroreactive. Despite the booster dose inclusion of SUDV GP and MARV GP, there were no substantial increases in reactivity against either antigen at subsequent timepoints. Overall filovirus seroreactivity increased at all timepoints for the entire cohort, although filovirus reactivity decreased over the study period for those who were seroreactive at baseline. Findings: These data highlight detection of significantly elevated seoreactivity to EBOV GP following first-dose administration of Ad26.ZEBOV, which remained relatively stable one-year post-booster dose administration. Additionally, this study identifies high levels of baseline seroreactivity to BDBV GP despite no previous documented outbreaks in this region of DRC. These data suggest that vaccination with the Ad26.ZEBOV-MVA-BN-Filo vaccine induces stable seroreactivity against EBOV GP, but not to other filovirus antigens.
Happle, C.; Hoffmann, M.; Stankov, M. V.; Chen, N.; Nehlmeier, I.; Graichen, L.; Moldenhauer, A.-S.; Witte, T.; Pöhlmann, S.; Dopfer-Jablonka, A.; Behrens, G. M.
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SARS-CoV-2 antigenic evolution continues to challenge strain-matched vaccination. For the 2026-27 season, the European Medicines Agency (EMA) identified XFG as the preferred antigen within the JN.1 family and Comirnaty XFG was authorised in the European Union in July, 2026. We studied 22 participants who received 30 microg of mRNA encoding XFG (Comirnaty XFG, BioNTech/Pfizer, Mainz, Germany) in September, 2026 and had paired serum available before vaccination and median 14 days afterwards. Median Wuhan-Hu-1 S1-specific IgG increased from 1600 BAU/mL (IQR 1118-2926) to 2914 BAU/mL (2117-4468), a 1.8-fold increase. Median RBD-binding ED50 increased from 116 (51.4-212) to 305.6 (170.8-434.6) for LP.8.1 and from 354.3 (129.2-558.2) to 832.9 (429-1175) for NB.1.8.1, corresponding to 2.6-fold and 2.4-fold increases, respectively (all p<0.0001). XFG-adapted vaccination increased neutralising activity against each tested variant. The GMT against XFG increased from 180 before vaccination to 894 afterwards (5.0-fold), and that against RV.1.3 increased from 121 to 599 (4.9-fold). GMTs increased from 117 to 386 for PQ.16.1.1 (3.3-fold), from 101 to 316 for XFG.1.1 (3.1-fold), from 629 to 1772 for LP.8.1 (2.8-fold), from 221 to 611 for NB.1.8.1 (2.8-fold), and from 228 to 642 for PJ.2.1 (2.8-fold). Neutralisation of BA.3.2.2 increased more modestly, from GMT 78 to 126 (1.6-fold; p=0.0009). Pre- versus post-vaccination neutralisation titres differed significantly for all variants (p<0.001). Despite the broad increase, post-vaccination neutralisation remained heterogeneous. Relative to LP.8.1, GMTs were 2.0-fold lower for XFG, 2.8-fold lower for PJ.2.1, 2.9-fold lower for NB.1.8.1, 3.0-fold lower for RV.1.3, 4.6-fold lower for PQ.16.1.1, 5.6-fold lower for XFG.1.1, and 14.1-fold lower for BA.3.2.2. These findings provide early human immunogenicity data after XFG-adapted mRNA vaccination. The largest relative increases were observed for XFG and RV.1.3, whereas LP.8.1 remained the most strongly neutralised variant after Comirnaty XFG vaccination and BA.3.2.2 the least. This pattern suggests broad boosting of cross-reactive humoral immunity without elimination of between-variant differences. The small, extensively pre-immunised cohort, short follow-up, absence of a contemporaneous vaccine-comparator group, and use of a pseudovirus assay limit inference. Our data characterise early antibody binding and neutralisation but do not establish durability or clinical effectiveness.
Kanithi, P.; Pradhan, A.; Cui, H.; Johnstone, K.; Luk, A.; Hammond, R.; Brown, C.; Walker, A. S.; Eyre, D. W.
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International travel can increase infection risk and spread antimicrobial resistance (AMR), yet clinical systems rarely capture travel history in a structured format. Extracting this information from free-text clinical documentation at scale could improve alerts for high-consequence infections and AMR surveillance. We developed an annotation framework covering key aspects of travel history, including destination, exposures, travel duration, and multiple temporal variables. The framework was used to annotate a corpus of 100 clinical case reports by five clinicians, yielding over 5,000 clinician annotations. Several LLMs were evaluated on the same extraction task, with their outputs compared against clinician consensus. Agreement among clinicians was high for straightforward variables such as presence of travel and destination, but dropped substantially for temporal variables such as time since return and symptom onset relative to return. LLMs showed a similar pattern. They performed well on high-level variables but struggled with the same temporal fields that challenged clinicians. Model errors were also concentrated in cases where clinicians disagreed. Across models, outputs were more sensitive to sampling temperature than to prompt wording. A smaller open-weight model performed similarly to substantially larger models on several variables but remained weaker on temporal fields. Overall, LLMs could extract some travel history variables, but reliable extraction of temporal information remained difficult.
Hoffmann, M.; Zhang, L.; Chen, N.; Moor, N.; Nehlmeier, I.; Graichen, L.; Moldenhauer, A.-S.; Dopfer-Jablonka, A.; Happle, C.; Behrens, G. M. N.; Poehlmann, S.
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SARS-CoV-2 continues to circulate globally at high levels and to evolve into new variants. Recently, a new saltation variant harbouring a highly mutated spike protein, PJ.2.1, emerged in North America. Here, we provide a brief epidemiological and virological characterization of PJ.2.1 and cocirculating variants. We report that PJ.2.1 is spreading in the USA, Canada, and Spain and mainly infects individuals aged 60 years and older, as do most other variants, with the exception of BA.3.2, which preferentially infects individuals aged 0-9 years. PJ.2.1 was less susceptible to inhibition by an antibody against ACE2 than were the other variants, indicating increased ACE2 binding. In contrast, PJ.2.1 did not show augmented evasion of antibodies from vaccinees who had received the LP.8.1-adapted vaccine compared with most other variants analysed. These results suggest that augmented ACE2 affinity rather than increased antibody evasion might drive the current, rapid spread of PJ.2.1.
Merritt, S.; Kindrachuk, J.; Nkamba, D.; Hoff, N. A.; Kalengi, H.; Halbrook, M.; Kamba, L.; Beya, M.; Petrichko, S.; Wallace, H. L.; Luhata, C.; Kaba, D.; Rimoin, A. W.
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We report general acceptance (79.0%) of Ebola vaccination in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) between 2023-2024 (n=5,062). Acceptance varied significantly by province with acceptance ranging from 47.6% in Kongo Central to 92.1% in Tshuapa province and was highest among healthcare workers. While Ebola vaccine acceptance and disease knowledge are relatively strong nationally in the DRC, regional differences do exist and may impact future vaccine rollout.
Kim, S.-Y.; Linnekin, T.; Carpp, L. N.; Lee, C. K.; Ockenhouse, C. F.; Mercer, L. D.; Gregory, S.; Linde, C.; Suscovich, T.; Shneer, T.; Seaton, K. E.; Dennison, S. M.; Spreng, R. L.; Mudrak, S. V.; Fontana, L.; Holman, D.; Shotorbani, S.; Das, J.; Moon, J. E.; Kisalu, N.; Moise, L.; Alter, G.; Tomaras, G.; Hyrien, O.
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RTS,S/AS01 (RTS,S) is one of two WHO-recommended malaria vaccines for children in moderate-to-high transmission settings. Yet, no validated immune correlate of protection (CoP) has been established for this vaccine. We selected 16 biomarkers to further assess as candidate CoPs, based largely on their ability to well-predict post-challenge outcomes in a previous integrative correlates analysis of two phase 2a controlled human malaria infection (CHMI) studies, Malaria-068 and Malaria-071. We evaluated the predictive power of these 16 biomarkers in two additional phase 2a CHMI studies, Malaria-092 and Malaria-102, to confirm these candidate CoPs in new malaria vaccine trials. In MAL092, malaria-naive volunteers were challenged three months after a series of two or three doses of RTS,S/AS01, and in MAL102, a subset were boosted nine months later and re-challenged after three weeks. The 16 biomarkers included Plasmodium falciparum circumsporozoite protein (CSP)-specific IgG antibodies targeting the CSP NANP-repeat region (CSP IgG ELISA), NANP repeat-specific antibody binding to human Fc gamma receptors (FcgRs), CSP-specific antibody Fc effector functions, total NANP6-specific serum Ig measured by biolayer interferometry (BLI), and NANP6-specific IgG1 antibodies measured by binding antibody multiplex assay. Immunogenicity analyses confirmed that the vaccine regimens elicited robust immune responses, including multiple biomarkers not previously reported on, in both trials. In MAL092, participants clustered into two distinct immunogenicity profiles that overlapped with malaria protection status. In univariate logistic regression analyses, most biomarkers were significantly associated with protection when measured on the day of challenge in both trials. Notably, the same three biomarkers ranked as top correlates in both trials (FCGR2AH NANP6, FCGR2AR NANP6, and FCGR2B NANP6; all adjusted p-values <0.001), with similar effect sizes across studies. Despite these strong associations, no biomarker demonstrated significantly better individual-level predictive performance than CSP IgG ELISA. In MAL092, CSP IgG ELISA achieved an area under the curve (AUC) [95% confidence interval (CI)] of 0.74 (0.63, 0.84), compared with AUCs of 0.76 - 0.78 for the top five biomarkers, all of which reflected NANP6-specific Fc{gamma}R binding (all adjusted p-values > 0.37 versus CSP IgG ELISA). Predictive models trained on data from two prior CHMI studies and applied to MAL092 and MAL102 identified a model based on FCGR2B NANP6 (validation AUC = 0.77 in MAL092; 0.80 in MAL102) as the best-performing univariate model for both studies. The best-performing multivariate predictive model for MAL092 was based on BLI NANP6 Dissociation AUC and ADCP NANP6 (validation AUC = 0.76), and in MAL102, it was based on CSP IgG ELISA, BLI NANP6 Dissociation AUC, and ADCP NANP6 (validation AUC = 0.82). The next approximately 10 highest-ranked models, however, had comparable performance with overlapping 95% CIs, and none were clearly superior to CSP IgG ELISA (validation AUCs 0.74 and 0.71 in MAL092 and MAL102, respectively). Collectively, these findings suggest that the majority of the previously identified candidate CoPs also hold up well in two additional malaria vaccine CHMI trials and underscore the continued utility of the CSP IgG ELISA readout as a robust marker of protection. Further studies are needed to determine whether these candidate CoPs hold in malaria-endemic field settings. Identifying validated CoPs that predict malaria vaccine efficacy would promote the development and approval of more effective and durable next-generation vaccines. These advances could also inform vaccine strategies for other infectious diseases.
Al-Dhayani, K. M.; Hasan, Z. A.; Alastah, K. B. A.; Altbal, S. M.; Al-Eryani, M. S.
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Background: Global oral cholera vaccine (OCV) supply shortages and the retirement of Shanchol necessitate absolute reliance on alternative formulations. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to evaluate the immunogenicity and safety of Euvichol variants compared with the historical Shanchol benchmark. Methodology/Principal Findings: A searched PubMed, Embase, MEDLINE, Scopus, and Cochrane CENTRAL up to May 2026 for randomized controlled trials (RCTs) comparing any Euvichol variant against Shanchol in healthy populations aged [≥]1 year. Primary outcomes were vibriocidal seroconversion rates at 14 days post-dose 2 pooled as Risk Ratios (RRs) via Mantel-Haenszel fixed-effects models. Five RCTs comprising 7,253 participants were included. Euvichol formulations demonstrated non-inferior, equivalent seroconversion rates compared with Shanchol for both Vibrio cholerae O1 Inaba (RR 1.00, 95% CI 0.98-1.02; I2=0%) and O1 Ogawa (RR 1.01, 95% CI 0.99-1.04; I2=26%). Log-transformed Geometric Mean Titers confirmed clinical equivalence for Inaba (MD 0.02, 95% CI -0.01 to 0.05) and Ogawa (MD 0.00, 95% CI -0.03 to 0.03). Overall safety was balanced between arms, showing no significant variation in the risk of any solicited adverse event (RR 0.91, 95% CI 0.75-1.11) or specific symptoms including fever (RR 0.84, 95% CI 0.52-1.35). Serious adverse events were rare and uniformly unrelated to vaccination. Conclusions/Significance: Euvichol variants demonstrate immunogenic non-inferiority and interchangeable safety thresholds compared with Shanchol. These findings robustly support the large-scale integration of modern Euvichol-Plus and streamlined Euvichol-S formulations to stabilize global OCV stockpiles.
Meng, L.; Grant, D.; Xie, H.; Ford, R.; Webb, J.; McNamara, C. W.; Sukheja, P.; Yang, B.; Chatterjee, A. K.
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Screening of the open-access CRESTdb small-molecule library identified the imidazothiazole carboxamide sCQG200 (1) as an initial hit, with activity against H37Rv and Erdman Mycobacterium tuberculosis strains in cholesterol-containing medium (MIC90= 6.88 uM and 4.48 uM, respectively) and against intracellular Mtb (EC50= 3.80 uM). sCQG200 retained activity against drug-resistant Mtb strains, including clinical MDR/XDR isolates. SAR optimization led to analogs 21 and 24 with substantially improved antimycobacterial potency. Mouse pharmacokinetic studies following oral and intravenous administration showed 62.1% and 29.5% oral bioavailability for 21 and 24, respectively. This structurally differentiated chemotype provides a promising starting point for further optimization as antitubercular agent.
Mafirakureva, N.; McQuaid, C. F.; Harker, M.; Garcia-Prats, A.; Hesseling, A. C.; Seddon, J. A.; Dodd, P.
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Background. Tuberculosis preventive treatment (TPT) with levofloxacin reduces tuberculosis disease incidence in multidrug-resistant or rifampicin-resistant (MDR/RR)-tuberculosis household contacts. However, with age, disease progression risk falls and the frequency of adverse events (AE) rises. Methods. To inform decision-makers, we evaluated the cost-effectiveness of expanding the use of MDR/RR-TPT by age, with and without tests of tuberculosis infection. We modelled MDR/RR-household contact management (HHCM) in 189 countries, incorporating age-dependent risks of disease progression, death and AEs. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios were calculated as USD/disability-adjusted life year (DALY) averted, and as a fraction of per capita gross domestic product (GDP). Findings. Compared to baseline of MDR/RR-HHCM with TPT for those <15 years, adding TPT up to 45 years was cost-effective at a threshold of 30% GDP in 160/189 modelled countries including 17 of the 30 highest incidence countries. Of these 160 countries, the intervention was cost-saving in 46. Strategies targeting TPT to those testing positive for M. tuberculosis infection were dominated by those without testing. Globally, full use of MDR/RR-HHCM with TPT for all would avert 11,900 (10,400 to 13,800) episodes of tuberculosis, 9,960 (9,100 to 10,900) deaths, and 289,000 (262,000 to 321,000) DALYs, but would result in 71,000 (68,000 to 74,000) SAEs and cost $359 million (294 to 449). Interpretation. Expanding MDR/RR-TPT use to older ages without testing appears cost-effective in most settings, but may require substantial resources and result in large numbers of AEs. Funding. Unitaid
Elias, K. M.; Egilmezer, E.; Khan, S. R.; Mitchell, A.; Reynaldi, A.; Berry, M. T.; Schlub, T. E.; Bailey, B. A.; Cromer, D.; Turner, T.; Stadler, E.; Davenport, M. P.; Khoury, D. S.
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There is currently no clinical data for the effectiveness of the only licensed Ebola virus disease vaccine (Ervebo) against Bundibugyo virus disease. A number of studies have shown immune cross-reactivity with Bundibugyo virus after Ervebo vaccination. However, antibody recognition of Bundibugyo is around 2.8-fold lower than recognition of Ebola virus. Here, we aimed to infer how a 2.8-fold drop in immune recognition may affect Ervebo protection against Bundibugyo virus disease based on analysis of data on Ervebo immunogenicity and protection from Ebola virus disease. This work has three main components. Firstly, we analysed the timing of vaccine protection in the Ervebo pivotal ring vaccination clinical trial. Secondly, we performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of antibody responses to Ebola virus after Ervebo vaccination over time. Thirdly, we combined these data with previously reported data on the cross-reactivity to Bundibugyo virus to infer protection of Ervebo against Bundibugyo virus disease. We find that the clinical trial data for Ervebo supports vaccine protection beginning earlier than 10 days after vaccination. Secondly, binding antibody levels against Ebola virus on day 28 post vaccination (peak responses) were on average 12.9-fold (95% confidence interval, CI: 6.4 - 26.0) higher than on day 7, 6.3-fold (95% CI: 3.7 -10.8) higher than on day 10, and 2.5-fold (95% CI: 1.4 - 4.4) higher than on day 14 (neutralising antibodies showed similar results). Finally, we consider the scenarios where antibody levels to Ebola virus at day 7 or 10 are putative protective thresholds against Ebola virus disease, and we assume these thresholds also apply for Bundibugyo virus disease. Then, with a 2.8-fold reduction of responses to Bundibugyo compared to Ebola virus, we predict antibody responses to Bundibugyo virus after Ervebo vaccination are likely above these putative protective thresholds.
Wawina-Bokalanga, T.; Akilimali, P.; Pekar, J.; Adroba, P.; Amuri-Aziza, A.; Kinganda Lusamaki, E.; Jansen, D.; Gutierrez, B.; Judge, C.; Ntumba-Tshitenge, O.; Quick, J.; Amadou Mouctar, D.; Wilkinson, S. A.; Makangara-Cigolo, J.-C.; Lola-Loway, M.; OTSHUDIEMA, J. O.; Gumede, N.; Mulangu, F.; Nsio, J.; Akil-Bandali, P.; Yango, J.; Ebengo, D. M.; Tshitenge, T. B.; Kacita, C.; Ngalula-Mudiayi, J.; Mossoko, M.; Musuamba-Kayembe, P.-C.; Tibasima-Dhesa, L.; Paku-Tshambu, P.; Mulangu, S.; KABUTU, P. Z.; Tshiani-Mbaya, O.; Mvumbi Makaba, D.; Belizaire, M.-R.; Rimoin, A. W.; Subissi, L.; Peeters, M.;
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The Democratic Republic of the Congo is experiencing a major outbreak of Ebola disease caused by Orthoebolavirus bundibugyoense (Bundibugyo virus), which was declared on May 15, 2026. To investigate the timing of emergence and early transmission, we generated near full length Bundibugyo virus genomes from 686 PCR-confirmed individuals across 22 health zones. We estimated the time of emergence as late February 2026 (95% highest posterior density interval [HPDI]: January 21 and March 25, 2026) and an evolutionary rate of 8.7X10-4 substitutions per site per year (95% HPDI: 7.6 and 9.9X10-4), with no evidence of mutations associated with rapidly growing lineages.
Kaur, J.; Madaan, V.; Sharma, R.; Agarwal, Z.; Gudi, N.; Bisen, T.; Gupte, S.; Mutreja, A.; Doegar, N.; Singh, H.; Agarwal, G.; Sethi, T.
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Hospital-based surveillance captures important components of antimicrobial resistance in India, but community-facing data linking prescribing and resistance remain limited. To address this, we analysed routinely generated prescription and diagnostic data from Tata 1mg from 2023 to 2025. Among 25.7 million medicines prescribed, 10.8% were antibiotics, with Watch antibiotics exceeding Access antibiotics in every state meeting the inclusion criteria. Among 156,000 diagnostic microbiology samples, urine cultures predominated, with Escherichia coli accounting for 60.6% of culture-positive isolates. In urinary E. coli, resistance was low to the Access antibiotics nitrofurantoin and amikacin (4.9% each), but high to the Watch antibiotics ceftriaxone (53.6%) and ciprofloxacin (57.0%). Exploratory cross-correlation analyses identified lead-lag relationships in which resistance to selected Watch antibiotics preceded changes in resistance to Access antibiotics by approximately 3-6 months. Routine digital healthcare data can therefore support community-facing AMR surveillance by jointly characterising platform-recorded prescribing and susceptibility within the observed care pathway.